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I expect Flávio Bolsonaro’s refusal to recognize the result to be less disruptive than his father’s refusal to concede four years ago. Unlike Jair Bolsonaro in 2022, Flávio does not control the government. Nor did he spend months before the vote, as his father did, casting doubt on the voting machines, a campaign that convinced many of his father’s voters; Flávio did so once, in July, and then backtracked. Finally, Lula’s margin of more than 4 million votes, about twice his 2022 margin, is probably too wide for a claim of irregularities to persuade many beyond the Bolsonaros’ core supporters.