Every single person on this list would trigger the least sensitive fraud detector. (Hasbara has been overactive).

Hic meus amicus birotarius ("cyclist"): "Non licet omnibus adire Corinthum".

It's going to be an interesting screen adaptation. I wonder who wil play the main character.

Occasional sleep deprivation from taking a transatlantic red eye flight: I speculate that it must be hormetic, provided of course one compensates later.

Unless you do math just for pleasure, not status, you are in serious trouble.

Populations are not static. People fail to get the dynamics of change between elections. Every large election brings ~4% fewer older voters and 5.5% additional young voters. And we know where different age groups stand w.r. to some issues.

Those who are hungry for power are easiest to manipulate.

Died (possibly) of poisoning from drinking an immortality potion. Made me think of Draculino @bryan_johnson

MISLEADING

Preparing for a discussion on the "Evolution of Lebanese Identities" Sept 17, at the Corm Palazzo, with @AlbertKostanian and @PZalloua. @Grok cher ami, please provide a bibliography for the below.

DHIMMITUDE as a fake harbara concept. From the Lydian Stone (@TarekMitri, @karimbitar, @riachi_jean). Hasbara: they lie, they lie and they lie even more.

Most authors who write bad reviews construct their arguments first, then cherry-pick details from the book to fit them.

PseudoTaleb is back looking for suckers. I took the opportunity to ask him as few questions

On the fragility of Zionism

When you apologize publicly, you are signaling submission. And they will attack you with even more virulence.

Most of what was produced in academia today is noise, some 100% (performative academia), some ~90-99% (science). Most of what was produced by the baker today is signal.

PHILOLOGY DUJOUR Mitzvah מִצְוָה=وصية

The Palestinians are the closest descendants of ancient Israelites as well as other original inhabitants of the land —all timescales, ancient, medieval and modern. The rest is a detail.

This cyclist friend of mine has discovered via experimentation that Silca underestimates 32mm tires by ~8 PSI. May work for shoulderless 155lb Tour-de-F aiming cyclists but the algo fails for him. PSI 8 points higher lead to an increase in speed up to 3km/h on smooth concrete.

For those who want to have fun with the scamming impersonator at +1 (702) 470‑6586

This cyclist friend of mine was told by his barber's ex-cousin in law that he loves drinking Beaujolais wines s.a. Morgon, Fleurie, etc. chilled (just like white wine) and was wondering which other red wines are good chilled.

LOGIC OF HISTORY Iran will eventually join the Pakistan-Türkye alliance. Not today.

You are hiring a person not a subcontinent. A basic error in the interpretation of statistical information. youtu.be/Fa0MzBF-iv0

Friends, the problem of statistics is that even if they worked (they don't), whatever is derived statistically ONLY applies to groups never to single individuals. You are not hiring a subcontinent, but a single individual. Variance determines the max.

Bessent, with his brilliant treasury fix, looks like a doctor attempting to cure a patient's pancreatic cancer with a combination of potent tranquilizers and yoga-style meditation.

I established contact with "Nassim Trading Tips" who recruits suckers here on Voante and have been asking him important questions. I encourage friends here to ask him critical questions on WhatsApp below. He must have remarkable tips.

RISK MANAGEMENT DUJOUR Zionism presents the exact Turkey problem: keep killing more and more pple, get increasingly more aggressive, thanks to the illusion of impunity, try to control more and more "allied" governments, until the eventual demise of the whole program.

FRAUD ALERT Some people impersonating me on my feed are redirecting to this fraud. Pay attention and don't be a turkey.

An evil "state". Liars, criminals, land thieves, bloodthirsty savages with technology and advanced PR controlling Western Media.

The Book is a Book, not Disembodied Information nntaleb.substack.com/p/the-book-is-a-book-...

Now AI can tell you that it is human produced. Where is Gödel when you need him?

Excellent summary analysis by Joe Shipman @joe_shipman:

Friends, I am examining the so touted paper by George et al. "Alcohol Intake & Health Study: No Protective Effect at Low Levels" & finding something odd (aside from the mismatch between claims & content), the Conf Int are not symmetric. Cannot fit a distribution and they do not e…Mostrar mais

I enjoyed greatly the Odyssey (thought I am not used to watch moving images, which made some scenes feel more poignant). The most gripping part was the siren episode which made me reread my own scene in #FooledbyRandomness (after almost 3 decades).

The very few things in economics that I thought weren't wrong are turning out to be wrong. #TheLydianStone

Wisdom lies in understanding the difference between reaction and revenge.

The Book is a Book, not Disembodied Information nntaleb.substack.com/p/the-book-is-a-book-...

Finally, a health-exercise study that is statistically sophisticated, & conditions gains in fitness to current baseline. And, not surprisingly, no *conditional* U/J shape. The current 180m/week recommendation make 0 sense: gains accrue up to 14h/week!

Can someone explain how a sitting president can have a prostate cancer metastasize without early detection when it had been symptomatic for a while --and how these moronic doctors can refrain from doing a PSA test!

Yeoman's podcast, so far only one for 2025-2026 yeomanpodcast.com/2026/08/07/nassim-taleb-36/

Antinous the usurpers, the v. obnoxious & ungrateful suitor who, though uninvited, tries to take over Odysseus’ palace, kill his son, & mistreats & humiliates weak people (beggars) only to get his just deserts by being slain by Odysseus, reminds me of a certain "state…Mostrar mais

This cycling friend of mine was asked by the first cousin of his mother in law's (illegal) gardener to ask my X friends whether someone used this X2 strap as a "holter" during exercise.

A Lebanese Technology Transfer: Notes on a Blowup. [How my background links to the carry trade and its reverse, antifragility; how no Ponzi ever succeeded; how Lebanese bankers are retards] nntaleb.substack.com/p/a-lebanese-technolo...Mostrar mais

Rest in Peace, Victor Niederhoffer. We had our tough moments but I learned a lot from you.

If you are actively ignoring someone, you are not ignoring them.

So past 24 h was busy satistfying moral obligations, fighting 1) for Armenian hostages, 2) agst Moroccan Zionistinism/for Spanish antigenociditism, 3) agst the retarded Lebanese Ponziist Sehnaoui & got 10^6 hate msgs. Tomorrow is cycling day. I care about myself Restart Wed.

So they killed ~80K Palestinians (lower bound) yet their demographics worsened by a multiple of that.

The problem with "Voldemort" Sehnaoui (the flamboyant Lebanese Ponzi Banker) is that he is no Voldemort. He is just stupid, very stupid & very fragile.

I declined an invitation to lecture in Morocco. I will wait for a regime change before setting foot in that country.

Was asked to go to Azerbaijan for a lecture . I declined (they yuugely upped their offer, not understanding my ethics, thinking it would make a difference). I will not set foot in Azerbaijan with Reuben Vardanyan jailed there.