The Taiwan Strait carries 13% of seaborne trade by value. Yet dodging it requires only a small detour. Our model suggests, however, that more dramatic scenarios are possible https://www.economist.com/interactive/briefing/2026/03/27/the-nightmare-scenario-for-global-trade?taid=69c8bfebb7d88c00019f9449&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=social&utm_source=voante