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A new poll: 61% of Ukrainians living in Ukraine oppose withdrawing Ukrainian troops from the Donbas and handing the region over to full Russian occupation in exchange for security guarantees from the US and Europe. 35% would agree to such an arrangement, with varying degrees of certainty. (This poll was conducted before the "diesel deal" and Trump's betrayal. And opposition to withdrawing Ukrainian troops has barely changed since the summer. Ukrainians clearly have no illusions about the value of any security guarantees offered in exchange for surrendering their main defensive line against Russia.) Importantly, 66% of Kyiv residents are also firmly opposed, despite all the mass killings and destruction Russia is currently inflicting on their city. Only 10% expect the war to end this year. Meanwhile, 39% believe it will not end until 2028 or even later, and 21% have no definite opinion on the matter. 62% say they are prepared to endure the hardships of war for as long as it takes. Another 21% are prepared to endure them for a few more months or up to six months. In this respect, public attitudes have remained essentially unchanged throughout the second half of 2026, despite all of Russia's atrocities. 92% of Ukrainians believe that Russia's strikes are intended to destroy Ukraine's economy, make life unbearable for its people, and force the country to capitulate. Only 3% believe Russia is merely responding to Ukrainian strikes against it and that Ukraine is provoking Russia. Just 2% believe Russia is targeting only military facilities and is not trying to destroy Ukraine's economy and essential civilian infrastructure. (Well, duh.) 84% fully or somewhat agree that Russia wants to conquer Ukraine and is therefore unwilling to accept any peace settlement under which Ukraine remains a sovereign state with a strong military. Only 20% fully or somewhat agree that the Ukrainian government should be more willing to make concessions in negotiations with Russia. 73% disagree. 78% believe the obstacle to peace is Russia's ambition to conquer Ukraine and its unwillingness to accept a peace in which Ukraine remains a sovereign country with a strong military. Only 12% agree that the obstacle to peace is the Ukrainian government's refusal to make concessions.

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