Daniel Lacalle Official Account

689 Voos
Daniel Lacalle Official Account

Daniel Lacalle Official Account

@dlacalle_IA

Official English Account. PhD #ChiefEconomist Tressis #Author. #Professor @IEbusiness @frdelpino. YouTube: https://t.co/sjWtBdfIT7

dlacalle.com/enIngressou em junho de 2026
It has always fascinated me how people buy into socialist lies that destroy their currency, their nation’s creditworthiness, and, with them, their wages, savings, and well-being—then call it all “social” and blame markets for the consequences. It’s like bingeing on junk food, en…
The monumental mistake of hiking rates now. Largest inflationary pressure is energy. Rate hikes do not put more barrels in the market or impact ebnergy prices. However: - Lowers housing investment in the middle of a housing crisis. - Impacts consumer spending. - Hurts investment…
France will not destroy or break the euro, but the rising fiscal imbalances of both Germany and France, added to the weaker trade surplus and a private sector recession, may continue to put pressure on the single currency. Interestingly, a weak currency is wrongly applauded by b…
France has not had a balanced budget since the late 70s. Government spending is the highest in the developed economies. Interventionism is the norm. Taxes are asphyxiating. Uncontrolled immigration has destroyed the social fabric. Protesters want more. What could go wrong?
Brazil presidential election scandal. Supreme Court order extended voting two hours with allegations of interference. Brazil market futures tank despite conservative congress, senate and states control.
The European Union nations believed monetary policy would disguise the debt crisis created by massive government spending. Now France shows the welfare state is unsustainable. Big government and high taxes make it worse. Euro crisis. Risks and opportunities.
France’s debt crisis demonstrates that a model of a bloated state, high taxes, and uncontrolled immigration is unsustainable—and, furthermore, impoverishing. At CNBC this morning
The demolition of the auto industry by design. The net zero bureaucracy gave the future of the automotive industry to China in exchange for an allegedly enormous market that never delivers. Now the sector sees crashing sales in China and competitive disadvantages everywhere.
The euro is the only world reserve currency with redenomination risk. That adds a completely unique layer of risk compared to any other country's debt challenges. The risk is small but not inexistent.
The French bond rout is spreading to banks, despite their recent core capital improvements and strength accumulated in the past years. In the euro area, 70% to 80% of external corporate financing for firms comes through bank loans. Only a small minority of companies issue corpor…
China stock market in the past five years: Hang Seng -12.3% Shanghai 300 -18.6% CSI 1000 -11.6% Domestic challenges, monetary and earnings concerns, and contagion of real estate burst. via Bloomberg
Let me get this straight. The same people that complain about the cost of living think that more government spending, more money printing and more migration will solve it. Fascinating
Starmer and Reeves almost destroyed the UK's public finances. Burnham is adamant about finishing the job, doubling down on the same mistakes that have obliterated France. No one resigns. The U.K. public sector borrowed £24.5 billion in September, £1.8 billion more than a year ea…
France's collapse is the direct consequence of following Piketty and Zucman's recommendations of massive government, huge spending, high taxes and uncontrolled migration. Now they give lessons.
Euro area bond yields and risk premia rise in unison as the contagion risk becomes evident. The ECB's anti-fragmentation tool was designed to mutualize risk, and it did. via Bloomberg