Despite a Senate map that looks nearly impregnable on paper, our midterms forecast estimates that the Democrats have a 46% probability of taking over the upper chamber https://www.economist.com/united-states/2026/04/21/our-midterms-forecast-predicts-pain-for-donald-trump?taid=69e8ebdbb2f7b80001e2514f&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=social&utm_source=voante